Iran vs Israel: Rising Tensions and the Threat of Regional War in 2025


 

Detailed Report on Israel-Iran War 2025

The Israel-Iran conflict, escalating into direct warfare on June 13, 2025, marks a significant shift from decades of proxy conflicts to open hostilities. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the reasons behind the attacks, their timeline, international support, the United States’ role, ceasefire efforts, President Trump’s actions, and broader impacts, including damage statistics, global market effects, and resource price increases, based on information available as of June 17, 2025.

Why and When Did Israel and Iran Start Attacking Each Other?

The direct conflict began on June 13, 2025, with Israel’s Operation Rising Lion, a large-scale aerial assault targeting Iranian nuclear facilities, missile bases, and military leadership. Iran retaliated with ballistic missile and drone attacks on Israeli cities, initiating an ongoing war. The roots of this conflict trace back to the 1979 Iranian Revolution, which shifted Iran’s stance to hostility toward Israel, supporting anti-Israel groups like Hezbollah and Hamas. Israel views Iran’s nuclear program as an existential threat, prompting preemptive strikes to halt its progress.

Reasons Leading to the War

Israel’s primary motivation was to prevent Iran from achieving nuclear weapon capability, with US Central Command warning on June 10, 2025, that Iran was “weeks away” from nuclear weapons. Iran’s ballistic missile program, capable of producing 300 missiles monthly, further alarmed Israel. Iran’s support for proxy groups, notably Hamas’s October 7, 2023, attack on Israel, which killed 1,200 people, heightened tensions. Iran perceives Israel’s strikes as violations of its sovereignty, fueling retaliatory actions.

Countries Supporting Each Side

  • Israel: The United States provides robust support, deploying THAAD missile defense systems and assisting in intercepting Iranian missiles. The United Kingdom has hinted at defensive support, with Prime Minister Keir Starmer relocating fighter jets. Australia acknowledges Israel’s concerns about Iran’s nuclear threat but urges restraint.
  • Iran: No country explicitly supports Iran militarily. Russia condemns Israel’s actions and advocates diplomacy, maintaining ties with both sides. China strongly condemns Israel’s strikes, urging de-escalation. Qatar and Saudi Arabia criticize Israel, with Saudi Arabia engaging diplomatically with Iran.

Detailed Timeline (June 12 - June 17, 2025)

Date Time (Local) Event Details/Outcomes
June 12 - Israel considers military action against Iran US officials confirm Israel’s readiness; Trump speaks with Netanyahu.
June 13 Early morning Operation Rising Lion begins; Israel strikes Iranian nuclear and military sites Over 100 targets hit, including Natanz; 224+ killed, 1,277+ injured in Iran.
June 13 03:00 IDT Israel declares state of emergency Warns of Iranian retaliation; air defenses activated.
June 13 06:30 IDT IDF launches five waves of airstrikes 200+ aircraft, 330+ munitions; targets include Tabriz, Kermanshah.
June 13 Evening Iran retaliates with 150 missiles 3 killed, 63 injured in Israel; US assists in interceptions.
June 14 Early morning Explosion at Mehrabad Airport; Iran claims downing Israeli jets Iran reports deaths of Generals Mehrabi and Rabbani.
June 14 23:11 IDT IDF strikes Tehran’s military targets Hits oil depots, Ministry of Defence; electricity cut in Shahran.
June 15 - Iran launches missiles; protests in London 9 killed, including 3 children, in Bat Yam; 200 injured.
June 16 - Iran strikes Tel Aviv and Haifa 8 killed, nearly 300 injured; total Israeli toll: 24 killed, 600+ injured.
June 17 - Israel strikes Isfahan 3 killed; Iran prepares major missile attack.

USA’s Role

The United States is a key supporter of Israel, providing military assistance through THAAD batteries and missile interception support. President Trump has emphasized avoiding direct US involvement but signaled potential engagement if Iran targets US assets. The US was engaged in nuclear negotiations with Iran, disrupted by the conflict, and Trump’s early G7 departure reflects his focus on resolving the crisis.

Ceasefire Negotiations

Ceasefire efforts have been unsuccessful as of June 17, 2025. Iran rejected talks while under attack but later sought mediation through Qatar, Oman, and Saudi Arabia, offering nuclear flexibility. G7 leaders and French President Macron reported an offer for a ceasefire, but Iran’s condition of halting Israeli attacks has not been met. Trump aims for a “real end” to the conflict, not just a ceasefire.

Why Trump Left the G7 Summit

Trump left the G7 summit in Canada early on June 16, 2025, to address the Israel-Iran conflict, citing the need to work on a resolution. He denied it was solely for ceasefire negotiations, stating he sought a “real end” to the conflict, hinting at broader diplomatic or strategic goals .

Damage Statistics

  • Israel: At least 24 killed, over 600 injured, with significant damage in Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Bat Yam.
  • Iran: Over 224 killed, 1,481 wounded, mostly civilians; Natanz nuclear facility destroyed, Isfahan damaged.

Effects on Global Markets

The war has disrupted global markets:

  • Oil Prices: Brent crude surged 10% to $75.15 per barrel, US oil up 7.26% to $72.98 .
  • Stock Markets: S&P 500 fell 1.13%, Nasdaq 1.30%, Dow Jones 1.79%.
  • Safe-Haven Assets: Gold prices rose; US dollar saw inflows.
  • Airline Stocks: Declined due to fuel cost fears (e.g., Delta Air Lines down 3.8%) .
  • Defense Stocks: Gained over 3% (e.g., Lockheed Martin).

Resources Increased in Price

  • Oil and Gas: Brent crude up 10%, US oil up 7.26%, natural gas up 3-5%.
  • Gold: Extended gains as a safe-haven asset.

Additional Context

The war’s escalation has raised fears of a broader Middle East conflict, potentially involving the US and other powers. Iran’s weakened defenses and loss of key leaders have shifted the regional balance, while Israel’s aggressive stance risks further retaliation. The conflict’s economic impact, particularly on oil, could exacerbate global inflation if prolonged.

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